Files
trueskill-tt/Cargo.toml
Anders Olsson 8b53cacd64 T4 (MarginFactor): scored outcomes via Gaussian-margin EP evidence
Adds soft Gaussian-observation evidence on the per-pair diff variable,
enabling continuous score margins as a richer alternative to ranks.

Public API:
- `Outcome::Scored([scores])` (non-breaking enum extension under
  `#[non_exhaustive]`).
- `Game::scored(teams, outcome, options)` constructor parallel to
  `Game::ranked`.
- `EventBuilder::scores([...])` fluent helper.
- `HistoryBuilder::score_sigma(σ)` knob (default 1.0, validated > 0).
- `GameOptions::score_sigma`.
- `EventKind` re-exported from `lib.rs` (annotated `#[non_exhaustive]`).
- New `InferenceError::InvalidParameter { name, value }` variant.

Internals:
- `MarginFactor` (`factor/margin.rs`): Gaussian observation factor that
  closes in one EP step; cavity-cached log-evidence mirrors `TruncFactor`.
- `BuiltinFactor::Margin` dispatch arm.
- `DiffFactor` enum in `game.rs` lets `Game::likelihoods` and the new
  `likelihoods_scored` share the per-pair link abstraction.
- Per-event `EventKind { Ranked, Scored { score_sigma } }` routed through
  `TimeSlice::add_events`, `iteration_direct`, and `log_evidence`.

Tests: 88 lib + 27 integration (4 new in `tests/scored.rs`); existing
goldens byte-identical.  Bench: `benches/scored.rs` baseline ~960µs for
60 events × 20-player pool with default convergence.

Plan: docs/superpowers/plans/2026-04-27-t4-margin-factor.md
Spec item marked Done.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 4.7 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
2026-04-27 08:47:36 +02:00

49 lines
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TOML

[package]
name = "trueskill-tt"
version = "0.1.0"
edition = "2024"
[lib]
bench = false
[[bench]]
name = "batch"
harness = false
[[bench]]
name = "gaussian"
harness = false
[[bench]]
name = "history_converge"
harness = false
[[bench]]
name = "scored"
harness = false
[dependencies]
approx = { version = "0.5.1", optional = true }
rayon = { version = "1", optional = true }
smallvec = "1"
[features]
approx = ["dep:approx"]
rayon = ["dep:rayon"]
[dev-dependencies]
criterion = "0.5"
plotters = { version = "0.3", default-features = false, features = ["svg_backend", "all_elements", "all_series"] }
plotters-backend = "0.3"
time = { version = "0.3", features = ["parsing"] }
trueskill-tt = { path = ".", features = ["approx"] }
[profile.release]
debug = true
[profile.bench]
debug = true
[profile.dev]
debug = true