Commit Graph
10 Commits
Author SHA1 Message Date
logaritmiskandClaude Opus 5 31564b71a0 docs: document the whole public surface and deny(missing_docs)
80 undocumented public items, including three that are first contact:
`History::current_skill` — the method the crate's own first example calls
— `EventBuilder`, the type `h.event(t)` hands you, and `Gaussian::mu()`.
Now zero, and `#![deny(missing_docs)]` keeps it that way.

Several docs are measurements rather than readings of the code:

- `Outcome::Ranked` says ranks are used ordinally, so `[0, 1, 2]` and
  `[0, 5, 90]` are the same observation. Measured: bit-identical
  posteriors for both.
- `OwnedGame::log_evidence` says two identically-rated competitors give
  exactly `ln(0.5)`. Written as a doctest, so it runs.
- `Member::weight` says zero and negative are accepted. Measured.
- `ConvergenceReport::final_step` is `(|Δmu|, |Δsigma|)` in skill units,
  NOT natural parameters. That one had to be traced through
  `Gaussian::delta` rather than assumed from the neighbouring vocabulary.
- `GameOptions::score_sigma` rejects non-positive and NaN but accepts
  `+inf`, which is what the guard actually says.

README: it is the front door for a crate on a private registry, and it
opened with a link dump followed by 130 lines on drift. The first
`record_winner → converge → current_skill` block was at line 226 of 307.
It now leads with what the crate is, an install line, a quickstart, a
"which entry point?" table, and the `converge`-is-strict rationale that
was the crate's most opinionated recent decision and went unmentioned.
The two canonical examples disagreed on spelling (`History::default()`
vs `History::builder().build()`, `current_skill("a")` vs
`current_skill(&"a")`); they now agree. Five new README blocks are
doctested, taking the suite from 19 to 25.

`pub use smallvec;`. Four public items name `SmallVec` in their
signatures, and the only `Joint` example failed to compile from a
consumer crate with `unresolved import smallvec` — the dependency was in
the API but not reachable. Both worked examples now use the re-export,
so they teach the path that works downstream.

Vocabulary, from #75: "agent" was a fourth word for competitor, 200
occurrences, and it had reached public signatures before #73 un-exported
`TimeSlice`. Now zero.

Closes #77. Refs #75.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_011hcFjNDmHXZF8URGLku5zZ
2026-09-09 21:53:50 +02:00
logaritmiskandClaude Opus 5 e4d6dc4028 fix: warn on dropped builders and values; stop exporting EP internals
`h.event(1).team(["x"]).team(["y"]).ranking([0, 1]);` without the
terminal `.commit()` was a silent no-op: no warning, no error, and the
next thing the caller does is converge an empty history and read `None`
skills. `EventBuilder` already carried a `#[must_use]`; the value types
around it did not, so the same silence covered `Team::with_members`,
`Member::new`, `Outcome::*`, `Joint` and `Prediction::outcomes`.

`#[must_use]` now goes on the *types* rather than being sprinkled over
methods, which covers every constructor and builder setter at once and
gives the crate a rule where it previously had a list. Verified by
compiling a program that drops each one and reading the warnings back,
rather than by assuming the attribute took.

Visibility, from #73: `Gaussian::damp_natural` was reachable from
outside the crate despite being an EP damping internal called only from
`src/factor/`. The stray `pub fn`s inside the private `time_slice`,
`key_table` and `matrix` modules are now `pub(crate)`, so their
visibility states what it means instead of relying on the module being
private.

`storage/mod.rs` and `factor/mod.rs` become `storage.rs` and
`factor.rs`.

Closes #67. Refs #73.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_011hcFjNDmHXZF8URGLku5zZ
2026-09-09 21:24:37 +02:00
logaritmiskandClaude Opus 5 a0c2f78aed feat: add the missing trait impls and make #[must_use] consistent
Trait coverage (#76), all additive:

  History          Debug is still absent - see below
  HistoryBuilder   + Debug   (it derived Clone but not Debug)
  Rating           + PartialEq  (Gaussian had it; Rating is a Gaussian
                                 plus three scalars and had none)
  Event/Team/Member + PartialEq (input value types with no way to compare
                                 them, which made round-trip tests awkward)
  ConvergenceReport + PartialEq

`#[must_use]` (#67). The coverage had no rule: `filtered_log_evidence`
had it and `log_evidence` did not; `rating` had it and `current_skill`
did not; `Rating::with_drift_scale` had it and `Member::with_drift_scale`
did not.

Now on the types — `EventBuilder`, `HistoryBuilder`, `Prediction`,
`Gaussian`, `OwnedGame` — which covers most method returns at once, plus
the `History` accessors individually.

`EventBuilder` gets a message, because a dropped builder is the worst
case in the set: measured, `h.event(1).team(["x"]).team(["y"]).winner(0)`
without `.commit()` leaves `time_slices_len() == 0` and every skill
`None`, with no warning at all.

And `ConvergenceReport`'s `#[must_use]` moves off the TYPE onto
`converge_partial`, where its stated reason is true. It read "from
`converge_partial` this may describe a fit that stopped at max_iter" but
fired on `converge` too — where that is false, since `converge` returns
`Err(NotConverged)` in exactly that case. So the crate's own front-page
example warned, and every quickstart had to write `let _ =`. Verified
from a consumer crate: `h.converge()?;` now compiles clean.

Marking the types made eight method-level attributes redundant, which
clippy's `double_must_use` caught — that is the type-level marker doing
its job, and the eight are removed.

Refs #76, #67

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_011hcFjNDmHXZF8URGLku5zZ
2026-09-09 20:38:39 +02:00
logaritmiskandClaude Opus 5 8dff7513f7 fix!: seal ConstantDrift's field so gamma can be validated
`gamma` enters only as `gamma * gamma`, so the sign was squared away:
measured against the old public-field form, `ConstantDrift(-0.0833)`
produced results bit identical to `ConstantDrift(0.0833)`. The sign was
neither rejected nor honoured — it vanished.

It could not be checked while the field was a public tuple position,
because there was nothing to intercept. Validating inside
`variance_for_elapsed` would have been worse: it runs in the sweep, so a
construction-time mistake would panic mid-inference, and `Gaussian::from_ms`
is a worked example of why that is the wrong place — rejecting NaN there
turned the NonFiniteResult reporting path into a crash.

So `ConstantDrift::new` is the only way in and it checks, with `gamma()`
to read the value back. 129 call sites rewritten across src, tests,
benches, examples and the README. The dated plan and spec documents under
docs/superpowers are left alone: they record what was built at the time,
and rewriting them would falsify that.

tests/constructor_validation.rs is the more valuable half. This defect
class was closed three times in one session and reopened twice, because
each fix validated the layer it had just touched and inferred the rest —
`HistoryBuilder`, then `Game`'s own entry points, then the constructors
beneath both. A per-site fix cannot notice the site nobody thought of, so
that file enumerates every public entry point taking a magnitude and
asserts each refuses negative and non-finite values.

It found an eleventh defect on its first run: `HistoryBuilder::score_sigma`
accepted infinity, because `inf > 0.0` is true and the assert only tested
positivity. Fixed, and its own `should_panic` message updated to match.

`Gaussian::from_ms` is deliberately exempt from the non-finite half, for
the reason above: a broken fit produces a NaN sigma legitimately and
`converge` must be allowed to report it.

The convergence-level drift-variance check stays and is now tested through
a custom `Drift` implementation, since `ConstantDrift` can no longer reach
it. That check is the only thing standing between a third-party `Drift`
and a NaN fit.

BREAKING CHANGE: `ConstantDrift`'s field is private. Replace
`ConstantDrift(x)` with `ConstantDrift::new(x)`, and `drift().0` with
`drift().gamma()`. `HistoryBuilder::score_sigma` now rejects infinity.

Closes #65

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_011hcFjNDmHXZF8URGLku5zZ
2026-09-09 19:11:57 +02:00
logaritmiskandClaude Opus 5 8e4d6a637d fix: reject malformed events at the ingestion boundary
A one-team event reached `run_chain`, which builds one diff link per
adjacent pair of teams, leaving it to index `links[1..]` on an empty
vector. That panicked with "range start index 1 out of range for slice
of length 0" — from `History::add_events`, in a release build, through
entirely safe API.

An empty team was the quieter half of the same gap. It contributes no
performance, so a malformed event converged and handed back a finite,
plausible-looking posterior for whoever it was matched against. That is
this crate's characteristic defect: a public surface reporting a
constant that looks like an answer.

A non-finite score was the third. `converge` did report NonFiniteResult,
so it was detected — but a caller reading `current_skill` before
converging was handed `tau: NaN` with nothing to say so.

`NotEnoughTeams` and `EmptyTeam` already existed. They were checked on
the prediction paths and nowhere else, which is exactly why ingestion
could still manufacture the states they describe. The checks go in
`add_events_with_prior` alongside the tie check, for the same reason
that one is there: every ingestion route lands on it, so `record_winner`,
`record_draw` and `EventBuilder` inherit them rather than each needing
their own.

Also corrects documentation that had been stating the opposite of the
code since 8c087ad in 0.4.0. README.md and the `with_prior` /
`with_drift_scale` doc comments all still said competitor configuration
was "captured at first appearance" and had "no effect" on a known key.
It now applies whenever supplied and refits the whole history. A reader
would have concluded late configuration was impossible and built a
workaround for a limitation that does not exist. CI compiles README code
blocks but not prose, which is why it survived three releases.

The comment in tests/degenerate_inputs.rs claiming a one-team event was
"rejected for an unrelated reason" was wrong when written — it panicked.

Refs #18, #26

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_011hcFjNDmHXZF8URGLku5zZ
2026-09-08 12:29:14 +02:00
logaritmiskandClaude Opus 5 8c087ad015 fix!: apply competitor configuration whenever it is supplied
`Member::with_prior` and `with_drift_scale` were consumed only on the
branch that *creates* a competitor — `priors.remove` sat inside
`if !self.agents.contains(..)`. Supplying either for a key the history
already knew did nothing at all: no error, no warning, and output
computed from the default prior. A prior applied on a competitor's very
first event and was silently discarded ever after.

Configuration now applies whenever supplied. Two details this forced:

Configuration is tracked per *field* rather than as a merged `Rating`.
A member setting only `drift_scale` must not also assert the default
prior, or it would silently undo a prior seeded on an earlier event.

Slice state has to be refreshed. `drift_scale` is re-derived on every
forward pass, but a prior is written into the competitor's earliest
slice once, at ingestion, and `iteration` refreshes only slices after
the first. Without the refresh a late prior would reach the drift terms
and nothing else — a subtler version of the drop being fixed. This was
caught by a test, not by reading the code.

Conflicting values for one competitor within a single batch are now
`ConflictingCompetitorConfig` rather than resolved by iteration order.
Events in a batch are unordered, so "last one wins" would make the
result depend on traversal — and `tests/ingestion_equivalence.rs` exists
to rule exactly that out. Repeating the same value stays inert, which is
the shape callers get when configuration is a property of the domain.

That invariant turned out to be tested only for *unconfigured*
competitors: every helper in that file built members with `Member::new`.
Extended to cover configured ones, including a check that configuration
changes the fit at all, so the order tests cannot pass vacuously.

`with_prior` had no coverage under `tests/` whatsoever, which is how
this survived. Adds `tests/competitor_config.rs`.

`drift_scale_is_ignored_after_first_appearance` asserted the old
behaviour and now asserts the new one. It was written as a deliberate
change-detector — "moving the capture would be a visible break, not a
silent one" — so it inverted rather than being deleted.

Also removes `InferenceError::ConvergenceFailed` and `NegativePrecision`,
which no code path ever constructed: public variants advertising failure
modes no caller could observe. Partial #20 — its other items were
already resolved, except `Outcome::winner` still panicking.

BREAKING CHANGE: `prior` and `drift_scale` now take effect for
competitors the history already knows, where they were previously
ignored; a batch supplying conflicting values for one competitor is now
an error. `InferenceError::ConvergenceFailed` and
`InferenceError::NegativePrecision` are removed.

Closes #10. Refs #20.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_011hcFjNDmHXZF8URGLku5zZ
2026-09-07 15:42:31 +02:00
logaritmiskandClaude Opus 5 87fca8dcca docs: correct drifted documentation and compile the README in CI
Four README code blocks no longer compiled: `Player` was renamed `Rating`
in T2, the `Drift` trait gained a `T: Time` parameter and a second method,
and two blocks were missing imports outright. The `Rating` example needed
more than a rename — with the binding unused, `T` is ambiguous because
`ConstantDrift` implements `Drift<T>` for every `T`, so it now carries an
explicit annotation.

Nothing compiled those blocks. `src/lib.rs` gains a `cfg(doctest)` struct
carrying `#[doc = include_str!("../README.md")]`, which turns every `rust`
block into a doctest without displacing the curated crate docs as the
front page. Verified it bites: reintroducing `Player` fails the build with
E0432 rather than shipping. Illustrative blocks are fenced `text` — note
that a bare fence defaults to `rust` under rustdoc, which is how the
`variance_delta = elapsed * γ²` formula became a compile error.

Prose fixes: README claimed `Gaussian::forget` takes a square root (it
works in variance space) and pointed at a `.gamma()` builder method that
does not exist. CLAUDE.md's data-flow diagram spliced the public ingestion
shape into the internal one — `Team` is not in that chain — listed
`cdf()`/`erfc()` as public when they are `pub(crate)` and private, and
called `SkillStore` public when only `CompetitorStore` escapes the crate.

Rustdoc fixes: `EventBuilder::scores_with_sigma` claimed a debug-assert
that `Outcome::scores_with_sigma` never had and whose own docs contradict;
rejection happens at ingestion as `InvalidParameter`. `event.rs` described
`add_events_with_prior` as replaced when it is still the ingestion
chokepoint. `factors.rs` advertised `Game::custom` without noting it is
`#[doc(hidden)]`. Internal T2/T4 milestone labels are dropped from public
items; the ones in the private `time_slice` module are left alone.

Closes #35

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_014b6wy2q8rnFK8U8GPJVQNU
2026-09-01 19:30:32 +02:00
logaritmiskandClaude Opus 5 617bc07f6f feat: allow drift to vary per competitor via Member::with_drift_scale
Drift was a property of the History, so every competitor drifted at the
same rate and a fixed reference point could not share a graph with moving
competitors. A bot at a known strength, a rating floor, a course
difficulty — all of them drifted along with the players.

Member::with_drift_scale(s) multiplies the drift *variance* a competitor
accumulates, so s is in the same units as gamma: ConstantDrift(g) at
scale s behaves exactly as ConstantDrift(g * s) would for that competitor.
A scalar rather than a per-competitor Drift keeps History's single D type
parameter untouched and stays Copy. 0.0 pins a competitor still.

The scale lives on Rating, beside the drift it scales, and is applied
only through Rating::drift_variance_delta / drift_variance_for_elapsed.
Making those the sole entry points means a caller cannot reach the raw
drift and silently skip a competitor's scale — the filtered pass was
exactly that bug during development, caught because its test was written
before the wiring.

Like with_prior, the scale is competitor configuration captured at first
appearance rather than a per-event override; a competitor that is static
is static, and a scale that changed between events would make the skill
trajectory hard to interpret. Member's docs claimed prior was a per-event
override, which the code has never done — corrected here.

A negative scale is rejected rather than squared into its absolute value,
and a non-finite one rejected outright, both as InvalidParameter.

None means 1.0, so no existing call site changes and no existing fit
moves. Adding a public field to Member does break struct-literal
construction downstream.

Closes #34

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_014b6wy2q8rnFK8U8GPJVQNU
2026-09-01 06:29:02 +02:00
logaritmiskandClaude Opus 5 9b2c2b38c8 docs: complete the public API documentation contract
Closes the last open item in #25. `cargo clippy -W missing_errors_doc
-W missing_panics_doc -W must_use_candidate -W doc_markdown` went from 56
warnings to zero.

The 13 hand-written sections name the actual variants each function returns
rather than gesturing at "an error". Establishing that meant reading the error
paths — `Game::ranked` alone returns four distinct variants, and `record_draw`
can hit TieWithoutDrawProbability where `record_winner` provably cannot, since
a two-team decisive outcome has nothing to tie. Documenting those as
interchangeable would have been worse than leaving them undocumented, because
a reader would trust it.

Two existing doc comments already described panics in prose but not under a
`# Panics` heading, so neither rustdoc nor clippy surfaced them:
`Outcome::winner` and `EventBuilder::weights`. Both now carry the heading, and
`Outcome::winner` gained the note that it ties every loser, so `n >= 3` needs a
positive p_draw — the crate's easiest error to hit by accident.

The 43 mechanical fixes (31 `#[must_use]` on pure accessors, 11 missing
backticks) were applied with `cargo clippy --fix`. `#[must_use]` on Gaussian's
arithmetic and on `posteriors()` matters: discarding those results is always a
bug, and until now nothing said so.

Also documented why `[profile.release] debug = true` exists — cargo-flamegraph
needs the symbols, and library profile settings are ignored downstream, so it
reads as an oversight without the note.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01T5SYDExxL4vZgvunrcNSMc
2026-08-27 17:43:31 +02:00
logaritmisk d2aab82c1e T0 + T1 + T2: engine redesign through new API surface (#1)
Implements tiers T0, T1, T2 of `docs/superpowers/specs/2026-04-23-trueskill-engine-redesign-design.md`. All three tiers have landed together on this branch because they build on one another; this PR rolls them up for a single review pass.

Per-tier plans:
- T0: `docs/superpowers/plans/2026-04-23-t0-numerical-parity.md`
- T1: `docs/superpowers/plans/2026-04-24-t1-factor-graph.md`
- T2: `docs/superpowers/plans/2026-04-24-t2-new-api-surface.md`

## Summary

### T0 — Numerical parity (internal)

- `Gaussian` switched to natural-parameter storage `(pi, tau)`; mul/div now ~7× faster (218 ps vs 1.57 ns).
- `HashMap<Index, _>` → dense `Vec<_>` keyed by `Index.0` (via `AgentStore<D>`, `SkillStore`).
- `ScratchArena` eliminates per-event allocations in `Game::likelihoods`.
- `InferenceError` seed type added (1 variant).
- 38 → 53 tests passing through T1.
- Benchmark: `Batch::iteration` 29.84 → 21.25 µs.

### T1 — Factor graph machinery (internal)

- `Factor` trait + `BuiltinFactor` enum (TeamSum / RankDiff / Trunc) driving within-game inference.
- `VarStore` flat storage for variable marginals.
- `Schedule` trait + `EpsilonOrMax` impl replacing the hand-rolled EP loop.
- `Game::likelihoods` rebuilt on the factor-graph machinery; iteration counts and goldens preserved to within 1e-6.
- 53 tests passing.
- Benchmark: `Batch::iteration` 23.01 µs (slight regression absorbed in T2).

### T2 — New API surface (breaking)

**Renames:**
- `IndexMap → KeyTable`, `Player → Rating`, `Agent → Competitor`, `Batch → TimeSlice`

**New types:**
- `Time` trait with `Untimed` ZST and `i64` impls; `Drift<T>`, `Rating<T, D>`, `Competitor<T, D>`, `TimeSlice<T>`, `History<T, D, O, K>` all generic.
- `Event<T, K>`, `Team<K>`, `Member<K>`, `Outcome` (`Ranked` variant; `#[non_exhaustive]`).
- `Observer<T>` trait + `NullObserver`.
- `ConvergenceOptions`, `ConvergenceReport`.
- `GameOptions`, `OwnedGame<T, D>`.

**Three-tier ingestion:**
- `history.record_winner(&K, &K, T)` / `record_draw(&K, &K, T)` — 1v1 convenience.
- `history.add_events(iter)` — typed bulk.
- `history.event(T).team([...]).weights([...]).ranking([...]).commit()` — fluent.

**Query API:** `current_skill`, `learning_curve`, `learning_curves` (keyed on `K`), `log_evidence`, `log_evidence_for`, `predict_quality`, `predict_outcome`.

**Game constructors:** `ranked`, `one_v_one`, `free_for_all`, `custom` — all returning `Result<_, InferenceError>`.

**`factors` module:** `Factor`, `Schedule`, `VarStore`, `VarId`, `BuiltinFactor`, `EpsilonOrMax`, `ScheduleReport`, `TeamSumFactor`, `RankDiffFactor`, `TruncFactor` now public.

**Errors:** `InferenceError` gains `MismatchedShape`, `InvalidProbability`, `ConvergenceFailed`; boundary panics converted to `Result`.

**Removed (breaking):** `History::convergence(iters, eps, verbose)`, `HistoryBuilder::gamma(f64)`, `HistoryBuilder::time(bool)`, `History.time: bool`, `learning_curves_by_index`, nested-Vec public `add_events`.

## Behavior change (documented in CHANGELOG)

`Time = Untimed` has `elapsed_to → 0`, so no drift accumulates between slices. The old `time=false` mode implicitly forced `elapsed=1` on reappearance via an `i64::MAX` sentinel — that quirk is not reproducible under a typed time axis. Tests that depended on it now use `History::<i64, _>` with explicit `1..=n` timestamps. One test (`test_env_ttt`) had 3 Gaussian goldens updated to reflect the corrected semantics; documented in commit `33a7d90`.

## Final numbers

| Metric | Before T0 | After T2 | Delta |
|---|---|---|---|
| `Batch::iteration` | 29.84 µs | 21.36 µs | **-28%** |
| `Gaussian::mul` | 1.57 ns | 219 ps | **-86%** |
| `Gaussian::div` | 1.57 ns | 219 ps | **-86%** |
| Tests passing | 38 | 90 | +52 |

All other Gaussian ops unchanged (~219 ps add/sub, ~264 ps pi/tau reads).

## Test plan

- [x] `cargo test --features approx` — 90/90 pass (68 lib + 10 api_shape + 6 game + 4 record_winner + 2 equivalence)
- [x] `cargo clippy --all-targets --features approx -- -D warnings` — clean
- [x] `cargo +nightly fmt --check` — clean
- [x] `cargo bench --bench batch` — 21.36 µs
- [x] `cargo bench --bench gaussian` — unchanged from T1
- [x] `cargo run --example atp --features approx` — rewritten in new API, runs clean
- [x] Historical Game-level goldens preserved in `tests/equivalence.rs`
- [x] Public API matches spec Section 4 (verified by integration tests in `tests/api_shape.rs`)

## Commit history

~45 commits total across T0 + T1 + T2. Each task is self-contained and individually tested; the branch is bisectable. See `git log main..t2-new-api-surface` for the full list.

## Deferred to later tiers

- `Outcome::Scored` + `MarginFactor` — T4
- `Damped` / `Residual` schedules — T4
- `Send + Sync` bounds + Rayon parallelism — T3
- N-team `predict_outcome` — T4
- `Game::custom` full ergonomics — T4

🤖 Generated with [Claude Code](https://claude.com/claude-code)

Reviewed-on: #1
Co-authored-by: Anders Olsson <anders.e.olsson@gmail.com>
Co-committed-by: Anders Olsson <anders.e.olsson@gmail.com>
2026-04-24 11:20:04 +00:00