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logaritmiskandClaude Opus 5 faa25fb3b1 refactor!: retire Index, intern and lookup
`Index` was public, `History::intern` and `History::lookup` returned
one, and no public method anywhere accepted one. It was a handle with
nowhere to go — and `key_table.rs` advertised the hot-path story it was
meant to enable ("power users can promote `&K` to `Index` and skip the
lookup"), which was never reachable through the public API.

It also shadowed `std::ops::Index`, which `CompetitorStore` implements,
so `use trueskill_tt::*` alongside `use std::ops::*` collided.

All three are `pub(crate)` now. `intern` stays internal because
ingestion needs it; `lookup` is gone entirely, since `current_skill`,
`rating` and `learning_curve` already answer "does this history know
this key" and all three take a borrowed key.

The three tests that used them asserted things a caller cannot observe.
They now assert what the interning bought:

- `record_winner_creates_two_competitors` compares posteriors instead of
  comparing two opaque indices for inequality.
- `intern_is_idempotent` becomes `a_repeated_key_is_one_competitor` — a
  key appearing in two events gives one competitor with a two-point
  learning curve, which is the observable form of the same claim.
- `lookup_returns_none_for_missing` becomes `an_unknown_key_is_unknown`.

Closes #73.

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_011hcFjNDmHXZF8URGLku5zZ
2026-09-09 23:18:54 +02:00
logaritmiskandClaude Opus 5 92ae5fca17 feat!: prediction and joint queries take borrowed keys
`&[&[&K]]` was the worst shape in the API. At `K = String` — the
realistic case, where names arrive owned from a database or CSV — a
string literal was *impossible*, and asking "who wins" cost six lines
and four allocations of temporaries that all had to outlive the call:

    let ta = vec![a.to_string()];
    let ra: Vec<&String> = ta.iter().collect();
    ...
    self.history.predict_win_probabilities(&teams)

All seven `predict_*` / `expected_*` methods, `posterior_of`,
`posterior_of_at` and the `Joint` mirrors are now generic over the
borrowed key, the same way `current_skill` and `learning_curve` already
were. `member_skills` and `resolve_terms` only ever did two things with
a key — `keys.get` and `format!("{key:?}")` — and neither needed `K`.

    h.predict_win_probabilities(&[&["alice"], &["bob"]])   // K = String
    h.predict_win_probabilities(&[&["alice"], &["bob"]])   // K = &'static str
    h.posterior_of(&[("alice", 1.0), ("bob", -1.0)])

One spelling for both key types, and `K: Debug` becomes `Q: Debug`, so a
key type no longer has to be `Debug` to run a prediction. The old
`&[&[&"a"]]` spelling still compiles at the default key type, where `Q`
infers to `&str` and the two shapes coincide.

The one cost: `predict_outcome(&[])` can no longer infer `Q` — nothing
in an empty slice names it. It needs an annotation, and only on that
degenerate call.

`lookup` carried `ToOwned<Owned = K>`, copy-pasted from `intern`, which
genuinely needs it to create the entry. `lookup` never creates, and its
five neighbours all accept `h.f("alice")` already. Dropping the bound
strictly widens what compiles.

`HistoryBuilder::gamma` is shorthand for `.drift(ConstantDrift::new(g))`.
Drift is the most-tuned parameter after `sigma` and `GAMMA` is a public
constant, but setting it meant first discovering `ConstantDrift`, a type
a caller has no other reason to name. On the `ConstantDrift` builder
only, since `gamma` is that model's parameter rather than something
every `Drift` has, and rejecting a negative value for the same reason as
`sigma` and `beta`: it enters squared.

Refs #72 (items 2 and 3, plus the gamma shorthand; the type-parameter
reorder in item 1 is still open).

Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_011hcFjNDmHXZF8URGLku5zZ
2026-09-09 22:11:25 +02:00