2cf21a753d9c9d232eba0f57a2ba386b22037c3f
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Commits
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8c087ad015 |
fix!: apply competitor configuration whenever it is supplied
`Member::with_prior` and `with_drift_scale` were consumed only on the branch that *creates* a competitor — `priors.remove` sat inside `if !self.agents.contains(..)`. Supplying either for a key the history already knew did nothing at all: no error, no warning, and output computed from the default prior. A prior applied on a competitor's very first event and was silently discarded ever after. Configuration now applies whenever supplied. Two details this forced: Configuration is tracked per *field* rather than as a merged `Rating`. A member setting only `drift_scale` must not also assert the default prior, or it would silently undo a prior seeded on an earlier event. Slice state has to be refreshed. `drift_scale` is re-derived on every forward pass, but a prior is written into the competitor's earliest slice once, at ingestion, and `iteration` refreshes only slices after the first. Without the refresh a late prior would reach the drift terms and nothing else — a subtler version of the drop being fixed. This was caught by a test, not by reading the code. Conflicting values for one competitor within a single batch are now `ConflictingCompetitorConfig` rather than resolved by iteration order. Events in a batch are unordered, so "last one wins" would make the result depend on traversal — and `tests/ingestion_equivalence.rs` exists to rule exactly that out. Repeating the same value stays inert, which is the shape callers get when configuration is a property of the domain. That invariant turned out to be tested only for *unconfigured* competitors: every helper in that file built members with `Member::new`. Extended to cover configured ones, including a check that configuration changes the fit at all, so the order tests cannot pass vacuously. `with_prior` had no coverage under `tests/` whatsoever, which is how this survived. Adds `tests/competitor_config.rs`. `drift_scale_is_ignored_after_first_appearance` asserted the old behaviour and now asserts the new one. It was written as a deliberate change-detector — "moving the capture would be a visible break, not a silent one" — so it inverted rather than being deleted. Also removes `InferenceError::ConvergenceFailed` and `NegativePrecision`, which no code path ever constructed: public variants advertising failure modes no caller could observe. Partial #20 — its other items were already resolved, except `Outcome::winner` still panicking. BREAKING CHANGE: `prior` and `drift_scale` now take effect for competitors the history already knows, where they were previously ignored; a batch supplying conflicting values for one competitor is now an error. `InferenceError::ConvergenceFailed` and `InferenceError::NegativePrecision` are removed. Closes #10. Refs #20. Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com> Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_011hcFjNDmHXZF8URGLku5zZ |
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c088214fed |
fix(history): stop reprocessing the slice that was just appended to
`add_events_with_prior` advanced `k` past the slice it had written when it
created a new one, but not when it appended to an existing one. The trailing
forward-refresh loop therefore started *on* the slice just modified and ran
`new_forward_info` over it again.
That is not merely redundant work. The loop immediately above it sets each
agent's message to `forward * likelihood` for that slice, and
`new_forward_info` then assigns `skill.forward = message.forget(drift)` —
folding the slice's own likelihood back into its own forward prior. The
skills it produced depended on how events had been batched.
Ingesting one event at a time now converges to the same fixed point as
ingesting the same events in a single call, which it previously did not:
for five events sharing a timestamp, competitor `a` converged to
mu=7.44 sigma=3.90 batched versus mu=7.99 sigma=3.10 incrementally. Both
runs had converged; the gap was not a convergence residual.
The numerical goldens never caught this because they all ingest in one call
with a distinct timestamp per event, so the append-to-existing-slice branch
is never taken. `tests/ingestion_equivalence.rs` covers it directly, and
asserts convergence before comparing so that a residual cannot be mistaken
for agreement.
Removing the redundant re-inference also removes the dominant cost of
incremental ingestion, which was quadratic in the number of events already
in the slice:
events before after speedup
500 45.8ms 1.1ms 42x
1000 179.5ms 2.8ms 64x
2000 721.8ms 9.9ms 73x
4000 2.9s 35.4ms 82x
Ingesting one at a time is now 1.8x a single batched call, down from 148x.
Two supporting changes are included:
- Color groups are rebuilt lazily rather than on every append. Nothing
reads the partition between an append and the next full sweep, so the
per-append rebuild was pure waste.
- `ColorGroups::groups_are_contiguous` is asserted after each rebuild and
in `color_range`. The parallel sweep derives one `&mut` sub-slice per
color from those ranges and relies on them being disjoint; that invariant
was established by construction but never checked.
Co-Authored-By: Claude Opus 5 (1M context) <noreply@anthropic.com>
Claude-Session: https://claude.ai/code/session_01DnsaJg74eNSva3PJjK2eej
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