extern crate blas_src;

use kickscore::{kernel, model::Binary};

fn main() {
    let mut model = Binary::probit();

    // Spike's skill does not change over time.
    let k_spike = kernel::Constant::new(0.5);

    // Tom's skill changes over time, with "jagged" (non-smooth) dynamics.
    let k_tom = kernel::Exponential::new(1.0, 1.0);

    // Jerry's skill has a constant offset and smooth dynamics.
    let k_jerry = (kernel::Constant::new(1.0), kernel::Matern52::new(0.5, 1.0));

    // Now we are ready to add the items in the model.
    model.add_item("Spike", k_spike);
    model.add_item("Tom", k_tom);
    model.add_item("Jerry", k_jerry);

    // At first, Jerry beats Tom a couple of times.
    model.observe(&["Jerry"], &["Tom"], 0.0);
    model.observe(&["Jerry"], &["Tom"], 0.9);

    // Then, Tom beats Spike, and then Jerry.
    model.observe(&["Tom"], &["Spike"], 1.7);
    model.observe(&["Tom"], &["Jerry"], 2.1);

    // Finally, Jerry beats Tom, and then Tom + Spike.
    model.observe(&["Jerry"], &["Tom"], 3.0);
    model.observe(&["Jerry"], &["Tom", "Spike"], 3.5);

    model.fit(true);

    // We can predict a future outcome...
    let (p_win, _p_los) = model.probabilities(&["Jerry"], &["Tom"], 4.0);
    println!(
        "Chances that Jerry beats Tom at t = 4.0: {:.1}%",
        100.0 * p_win
    );

    // ... or simulate what could have happened in the past.
    let (p_win, _p_los) = model.probabilities(&["Jerry"], &["Tom"], 2.0);
    println!(
        "Chances that Jerry beats Tom at t = 2.0: {:.1}%",
        100.0 * p_win
    );

    let (p_win, _p_los) = model.probabilities(&["Jerry"], &["Tom"], -1.0);
    println!(
        "Chances that Jerry beats Tom at t = -1.0: {:.1}%",
        100.0 * p_win
    );
}